Still Some Math…… What is the pumping logic of the lottery company? This is beneficial to understand how this machine works. Simply put, what is needed to take a chance in the football lottery and achieve long-term success is to be able to identify bets with positive expectations -- bets that have a greater chance of winning than the odds suggest. So your goal is not to win every bet, but to make decisions that have positive expectations. As an example, for today's AC Milan v Roma match, one company's odds are now 1.87, 3.40, 4.20. We can calculate the implied probability of winning, drawing and losing is 53.48% respectively 29.41% 23.81%. At this time, we will find that the three probability and 53.48%+29.41%+23.81%=106.7% , HOW IS THAT POSSIBLE? It is actually more than 100%. The 6.7 per cent extra is actually the lottery company's pumping (aka "margin"). That means the lottery company has a theory of 6.7 percent on the odds Commission pumping. So if we take tha...
Comments
Post a Comment