Still Some Math…… What is the pumping logic of the lottery company? This is beneficial to understand how this machine works. Simply put, what is needed to take a chance in the football lottery and achieve long-term success is to be able to identify bets with positive expectations -- bets that have a greater chance of winning than the odds suggest. So your goal is not to win every bet, but to make decisions that have positive expectations. As an example, for today's AC Milan v Roma match, one company's odds are now 1.87, 3.40, 4.20. We can calculate the implied probability of winning, drawing and losing is 53.48% respectively 29.41% 23.81%. At this time, we will find that the three probability and 53.48%+29.41%+23.81%=106.7% , HOW IS THAT POSSIBLE? It is actually more than 100%. The 6.7 per cent extra is actually the lottery company's pumping (aka "margin"). That means the lottery company has a theory of 6.7 percent on the odds Commission pumping. So if we take tha...
Section/Factor 2 Profit and loss index analysis Both profit and loss and Kelly Index are based on the analysis of the proportion of the public trading , to analyze the profit model of each large institution. Compared with the latter, the former gives stronger and more direct feedback to the profit situation of the institution. The process of calculating the profit index is actually the process of the cost accounting of the institution. I. Important parameters of profit and loss analysis This parameter is the proportion of public transactions of win, draw and lose results. According to this important parameter, the calculation formula of profit and loss index analysis can be solved. Ii. Profit and Loss index calculation formula The calculation formula of profit and loss index is actually a copy of the financial accounting model of most organizations. The specific formula is as follows: For example, 20100504 (This is the date of game) Wolfsburg vs. Hoffenheim (Background inf...
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